Football France Ligue 1 betting odds and forecasts

Ligue 1 is the fifth strongest championship in Europe, according to the UEFA coefficient table. One of the two richest clubs on the planet and dozens of football stars play here. This page contains betting tips and predictions for the French championships.

Features of the French Premier League

The experts at have identified several statistical features of the French championships that can be used in betting and forecasting.

One team championship

For the last few decades, Ligue 1 has been described as a one-team championship. Lyon were the hegemon of French football at the start of the 21st century, winning 7 league titles in a row from 2001/2002 to 2007/2008. Lyon's squad during those years was in keeping with the European giants: Fred, Florent Malouda, Hatem Ben-Arfa and others. This was followed by 4 seasons in which different teams won first place: Bordeaux, Marseille, Lille and Montpellier.

The end of 2011 saw a major event for French football - Qatar Sports Investments bought a 70% stake in PSG. The Arab sheikhs began to bring in star after star. As a result, the capital's club became the sole leader of French football, winning seven league titles in nine seasons.

However, last year's draw was unexpectedly won by Lille. The Bulldogs' first-place finish was partly due to PSG's focus on the Champions League, where they reached the semi-finals. The capital club sometimes fielded a second team in domestic matches to give the leaders a rest in European competitions. As a result, they lost a lot of points in the spring part of the season. Nevertheless, PSG are clear favourites to win this competition, especially considering the acquisitions that took place during the summer transfer window:

  • Lionel Messi;
  • Aszraf Hakimi;
  • Gianluigi Donnarumma;
  • Jorginho Weynaldum;
  • Nunu Mendes;
  • Sergio Ramos.

As a result, the capital club's transfer value has reached one billion euros. Bookmakers with long-term betting on Ligue 1 France continue to regard PSG as the clear favourite, offering odds of less than 1.1 for a win. The other clubs, objectively speaking, are struggling to qualify for the European competitions.

Low performance

In the 2020/2021 season, the average performance in Ligue 1 was 2.8 per game, the third highest in Europe. However, the high number of goals is primarily due to the teams in the top four: "Lille, PSG, Monaco and Lyon. The other teams, however, are not particularly prolific. Most encounters without the aforementioned clubs follow the same scenario: someone scores and plays 8 or 9 players in their own half. The teams lack the skill to break down massive defences.

Perhaps the only exception is Montpellier, who have shown a bright and open football that is atypical of France over the last 2-3 years. Closed and static football is taken into account by bookmaker analysts when placing bets on the French premier football league. The odds are 2.0 and higher on TM(2.5) in most matches.

Lots of fouls and penalties

With the introduction of the VAR system, red cards have been shown even more frequently. In the French league, this trend is particularly evident. Second-ten clubs lack the skills to play effectively in defence. Fouling in Ligue 1 is common and brutal. As a result, at least one red card is shown in every fourth match. In the 2020/2021 season, referees have sent off players 105 times, an average of 2.76 per game. Marseille and Lyon players were particularly exposed to red cards (11 and 10 respectively).

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